EVENTS

Burden-Sharing or Burden-Shifting? U.S. Policy on NATO after November 2024

Date: April 24, 2024
Time:
16:00 CET / 10:00 ET
Host:
American-German Institute
Language:
English

The specter of the United States abandoning NATO looms large over the 2024 U.S. elections. Former President Trump recently reminded Europeans of his ingrained hostility toward the Alliance when he invited Russia to “do whatever the hell they want” to allies that do not pull their weight in defense spending. While a formal U.S. withdrawal from NATO appears unlikely, a potentially imminent Republican administration would seek to fundamentally rebalance the transatlantic relationship. Given the multiple parallel threats to U.S. leadership, ballooning public debt, and an underperforming defense industrial base, even a second Biden administration would face enormous pressures to shift resources and attention away from Europe.

Drawing on interviews with congressional staffers, former officials, and experts in Washington, this webinar will address what a second Trump administration would mean for NATO. Together with Dr. Leonard Schütte (AAD/AGI Research Fellow and Senior Researcher at the Munich Security Conference) we will discuss how the debate within the Republican Party on NATO is evolving, what rebalancing entails concretely, and what the Europeans need to do to put NATO on a sustainable footing again.


Please find more information about the event and its registration here.

KI & ME: Der Wahlkampf und Künstliche Intelligenz

Date: June 25, 2024
Time:
19:15 CET / 13:15 ET
Host:
German-American Institute Tübingen
Language:
German

Erst kürzlich wurde berichtet, dass der US-Präsident Joe Biden in New Hampshire demokratische Wähler *innen angerufen habe, mit der Aufforderung, sich nicht an den Vorwahlen zu beteiligen. Hierbei handelte es sich jedoch nicht um einen Anruf des US-Präsidenten, sondern um eine versuchte Wahlbeeinflussung durch eine KI-generierte Simulation der Stimme von Joe Biden. Mit Dr. Katja Muñoz (Research Fellow bei DGAP) und Prof. Dr. Christian Bieber (Forschungsprofessor am CAIS) wollen wir darüber sprechen, welche Formen eine solche Beeinflussung durch KI annehmen kann, wie sie funktioniert und vor allem, wie sie enttarnt werden kann. Welchen Einfluss haben Algorithmen allgemein auf den politischen Meinungsbildungsprozess? 

Mehr Informationen finden Sie hier und über diesen Link können Sie an der Veranstaltung teilnehmen.

Past Events

Personnel is Policy: Plans for an Administrative Overhaul under Trump 2.0 

Date: March 22, 2024
Time:
16:00 CET / 11:00 ET
Host:
European Council on Foreign Relations
Language:
English

The overwhelming likelihood is that Donald Trump will be the next Republican nominee for President. As such, he stands a roughly even chance of winning the presidency.  
With this potential transition looming, attention has turned towards Trump’s agenda to eradicate the “Deep State” and ongoing preparations for the implementation of such agenda. Plans such as Heritage 2025 Agenda and America First Transition Project have outlined a series of staffing plans and overhaul initiatives that could significantly shape the direction of governance if Trump assumes office for a second term. 

Together with Dan Caldwell (Public Policy Advisor, Defense Priorities) and Jeremy Shapiro (Research Director & US Programme Director, ECFR) we talked about  the plans for an administrative overhaul during a second Trump administration, discussed what they mean for America and Europe and described the parallels to the Hungarian experience.  


Please find more information here.

Super Tuesday 2024 - Key Takeaways and the Road Ahead

Date: March 6, 2024
Time:
18:30 CET / 12:30 ET
Host:
AmerikaHaus NRW e.V.
Language:
English

On March 5, more than 15 US states and territories held primary elections and caucuses. With the highest number of delegates at stake on a single day, Super Tuesday is typically a strong indicator of how the presidential primaries will play out overall. Sofia Dreisbach (US Correspondent FAZ), Faith Jessie (Reporter & News Anchor WXIA-TV / NBC) and Julia Naue (US Correspondent dpa) analyzed the results and discussed scenarios for the road ahead. They also looked at key state-level races. What do the results tell us about the mood in the country? Which issues moved voters the most? And what does that imply for November 5?

Please find more information here.


Democratic Crossroads – Super Tuesday: Weichenstellung im US-Wahljahr

Date: March 5, 2024
Time:
19:15-20:45 CET / 13:15-14:45 ET
Host:
German-American Institute Tübingen
Language:
German

Hybrid-Podium mit dem ehem. ARD-Washingtonkorrespondenten Arthur Landwehr, Berlin-Korrespondentin der NYT Melissa Eddy und Dr. Tobias Endler. Die USA befinden sich mitten in einem turbulenten Wahlkampf um die Präsidentschaft und der Rest der Welt schaut gespannt zu: Wird Donald Trump trotz Gerichtsurteil Wahlkampf betreiben können und wenn ja – wie? Was sind Joe Bidens Chancen auf eine Wiederwahl und welche Kandidat*innen nehmen ab jetzt die Favoritenrolle ein? Am Super Tuesday, einer zentralen Wegmarke im US-Wahljahr, werden einige dieser Fragen bereits entschieden. Im Gespräch analysierten Arthur Landwehr und Tobias Endler die zentralen Kandidat*innen mit ihren Programmen und zeigten, wie sich der Wahlkampf entwickeln kann.

Mehr Informationen finden Sie hier.

The Crossroads of Democracy: The 2024 US Presidential Election with Lynn Vavreck 

Date: February 29, 2024
Time:
18:00-19:30 CET / 12:00-13:30 ET
Host:
American Academy in Berlin
Language:
English

Do American voters think Joe Biden is too old — and might they not vote for him, as a result? And despite seemingly cruising to the Republican nomination, is Donald Trump actually showing weakness within his own party? Are minorities drifting away from Biden? Will the upcoming trials weaken Trump’s support? These were just some of the questions UCLA political scientist Lynn Vavreck and Academy president Daniel Benjamin have discussed in a conversation about the dynamics of the 2024 US presidential election. Vavreck, a widely known analyst of American politics, is a contributing columnist for the New York Times and co-author of several critically acclaimed books on the last three election cycles. She also helped to develop and manage Nationscape, a large-scale political survey that produces more 6000 new voter-interviews every week.

Please find more information here.

Die transatlantischen Beziehungen vor der US-Wahl: Wie geht es weiter?

Date: February 19, 2024
Time:
18:00-19:30 CET / 12:00-13:30 ET
Host:
Deutsche Atlantische Gesellschaft e.V.
Language:
German

Die Deutsche Atlantische Gesellschaft freut sich, den deutschen Botschafter in Washington D.C., Andreas Michaelis, für einen Impulsvortrag zum Stand der transatlantischen Beziehungen im Kaiserin-Friedrich Haus (Robert-Koch-Platz 7, 10115 Berlin) empfangen zu haben.

Im Anschluss diskutierten wir mit Botschafter Andreas Michaelis, Botschafter a.D., Dr. Klaus Scharioth sowie Dr. Laura von Daniels (SWP) über die Rolle Deutschlands und Europas im US-Wahljahr und darüber hinaus: Wie kann Deutschland gemeinsam mit den USA dafür sorgen, dass die EU-Mitgliedsstaaten ihre eigene Sicherheit und Verteidigung ernster nehmen? Wo stehen die transatlantischen Beziehungen mit Bezug auf die Unterstützung Israels? Welcher gemeinsame Umgang kann in Bezug auf China gefunden werden? Wie können sich die Europäer auf eine mögliche zweite Trump-Präsidentschaft vorbereiten und was ist zu tun, um die Ukraine möglicherweise mit verminderter US-Rückendeckung weiter zu unterstützen?

Der Tagesspiegel-Journalist Dr. Christoph von Marschall moderierte die Veranstaltung. Die Diskussion begann um 18:00 und fand im Kaiserin-Friedrich Haus (Robert-Koch-Platz 7, 10115 Berlin) statt. Anschließend gab es einen Empfang.


Die Veranstaltung wurde aufgezeichnet. Schauen Sie sich die Aufnahme hier an.



Palmetto Politics: South Carolina and the U.S. Elections 2024

Date: February 14, 2024
Time:
18:00 CET / 12:00 ET
Host:
Atlantische Akademie Rheinland-Pfalz
Language: English

With its “First in the South” primary, South Carolina has ended and revived numerous political careers and cemented its status as a legendary political battlefield. In 2020, winning the state proved a turning point for Joe Biden’s campaign and the Democrats have not forgotten, having now established South Carolina as the first contest for their primary calendar. On the Republican side, Donald Trump swept the 2016 primary and is now looking to repeat his win in 2024 and forcing former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley out of the race in her home state. South Carolina Senator Tim Scott has already left the contest for the presidential nomination and has endorsed Donald Trump, along with many notable political figures of the state. In this event, we analyzed the unique political culture of South Carolina politics and discuss with two experts what the “Palmetto State” can tell us about the race to the White House and the way the Democrats and Republicans operate in the South. Speakers included Gavin Jackson, host of SCETV's weekly public affairs show "This Week in South Carolina" and the weekly "South Carolina Lede" podcast, and Kirk Randazzo, Professor of Political Science at the University of South Carolina.


Please find more information here.



Election Season and US Foreign Policy: Implications for Ukraine Support

Date: February 12, 2024
Time:
15:00-16:15 CET / 9:00-10:15 EST
Host:
German Council on Foreign Relations
Language: English

As the US election campaign heats up, the future of US support for Ukraine has become a hot-button issue. With a critical legislative bill that includes foreign policy assistance alongside border security and asylum policy measures still under negotiation  in Congress,  the likelihood of its passage dwindles. This scenario poses significant risks for Ukraine in its defense against the Russian invasion and places additional pressure on European allies to swiftly expand their assistance to Ukraine, especially in military aid.
In a virtual discussion Dominik Tolksdorf with US foreign policy experts, we discussed the factors shaping US policy on Ukraine during the election year, the geopolitical ramifications of conflicts such as those expanding  in the Middle East, the options for the Biden administration to continue the support, and the implications for Ukraine and European allies. The discussion was moderated by Dominik Tolksdorf and speakers included Scott Cullinane, Director of Government Affairs, Razom for Ukraine, and Andrea Kendall-Taylor, Senior Fellow and Director of the Transatlantic Security Program, Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Watch the recorded event here.

Franklin Foer: On Joe Biden's White House and the Struggle for America's Future 

Date: Februar 1, 2024
Time:
19:00 CET / 13:00 ET
Host:
Amerikahaus München / Stiftung Bayerisches Amerikahaus gGmbH
Language: English

As part of the Amerikahaus Book Talk series, this event focused on Franklin Foer's gripping biography of Joe Biden, following his first term in office: The Last Politician. Foer analyzed the triumphs and failures of Biden's leadership from the 2022 "midterm mirachle" to the power of the Inflation Reduction Act, all with an eye for what this will mean for the upcoming presidential elections in 2024. The discussion was moderated by Dr. Johannes Thimm. 

Watch the recorded event here

The Pulse of the Nation after Iowa and New Hampshire


Date: January 25, 2024
Time:
17:00 CET / 11:00 ET
Host:
American Council on Germany
Language: English


Join us for the kickoff of an engaging series where we sit down with prominent pollsters in the U.S. In this event, we delved into their insights on the nation's current mood as the first primaries unfold. Looking ahead, we also discussed what to expect in the upcoming political race. Our distinguished panel included Margie Omero, Principal at GBAO polling firm, and Matt Gorman, Vice President of Targeted Victory. The discussion was moderated by Juliane Schäuble.

Please find more information here